Acciones de la semana: Meliá Hotels, Unibail Rodamco y Netflix

Buenos días, por las acciones de la semana presentamos hoy unas análisis de Meliá Hotels International S.A., WFD Unibail Rodamco y Netflix Inc.

Hasta ahora el mes ha sido muy positivo para los mercados, y esta semana comienza con moderado optimismo y esperanzas de establecer nuevos máximos en el S&P 500.

El miércoles hay decisión sobre los tipos de intereses en Estados Unidos y se espera una bajada de 25 puntos que debería favorecer la renta variable. Luego mucho depende también de los tuits de Trump sobre la guerra comercial.

También seguimos con interés la evolución del brexit, mientras que en España parece que vayamos hacia nuevas elecciones.

El viernes 20 es día de vencimiento principal de derivados y va a haber mucho volumen en las bolsas.

 

Análisis de Meliá Hotels, Unibail Rodamco y Netflix

Meliá Hotels Internacional S.A.

Tiene sede en Palma de Mallorca y es líder mundial en complejos hoteleros y líder en los mercados de Sudamérica y Caribe.

La semana pasada ha sido demandada en Florida junto con Expedia, Trivago, Hotels.com, Orbitz, Travelocity y booking por violar la ley de embargo a Cuba.

Ventas 1 837 M
EBIT 221 M
Ingresos netos 121 M
Deuda 1 812 M
Rendimiento 2,29%
PER 13,4
Dividendo 0,18 (2,48%)
EV / Ventas 1,92
BPA 0,61
Capitalización 1 721 M

A largo plazo lleva más de 2 años en tendencia bajista, a medio plazo lleva un mes en tendencia alcista. Si aguanta los 7,30€ puede probar la resistencia a 7,70€ y subir hasta los 8,40€, si pierde el soporte de los 7,30€ puede bajar mucho.

Posible operación: compra a 7,30€, objetivo 8,40€, stop 7,19€.

 

WFD Unibail Rodamco

Tiene sede en París y es el primer grupo inmobiliario comercial en Europa. Está especializado en grandes centros comerciales en las más importantes ciudades europeas, grandes edificios de oficinas y centros de congresos y exposiciones en la zona de París. Vamos a incluirlo en nuestra cartera de acciones 2020.

Coeficientes financieros
Talla 2019e 2020e
Capitalización 17 823 M €
Valor de la empresa (EV) 42 726 M € 42 422 M €
Valuación 2019e 2020e
Relación P / E (precio / EPS) 11,3x 10,0x
Capitalización / Ingresos 5,95x 6,09x
EV / Ingresos 14,3x 14,6x
EV / EBITDA 18,1x 17,9x
Rendimiento (DPS / Precio) 8,39% 8,55%
Precio a reservar (Precio / BVPS) 0,66x 0,70x
Rentabilidad 2019e 2020e
Margen operativo (EBIT / Ventas) 78,5% 83,2%
Apalancamiento operativo (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales) 0,18x
Margen neto (beneficio neto / ingresos) 45,7% 54,3%
ROA (beneficio neto / activo) 2,45% 2,65%
ROE (beneficio neto / renta variable) 6,31% 6,17%
Tasa de dividendos 95,0% 85,6%
Análisis de balance 2019e 2020e
CAPEX / Ventas 41,7% 54,5%
Flujo de caja / ventas 64,6% 66,9%
Intensidad de capital (activos / ventas) 18,7x 20,5x
Apalancamiento financiero (deuda neta / EBITDA) 10,6x 10,3x
BPA               11,04
Dividendo               10,80 (8,52%)

 

A largo plazo y lleva más de 4 años en tendencia bajista, a corto plazo viene de una semana alcista. Los gráficos mensual semanal y diario presentan divergencias alcistas en MACD y RSI. Tiene apoyo sobre los 121-122€ y resistencia sobre los 136-137€ que podría romper y subir a cazar máximos anuales a 160€.

Si en los próximos días baja alrededor de los 122-123€ podemos comprar a esos precios con primer objetivo a 136€, segundo objetivo 160€ y posiblemente mantener a largo plazo. Stop 115,60€. Si no baja de los 126-127 euros podemos comprar a estos precios.

 

Netflix Inc.

Tiene sede en California y su negocio es la distribución de contenidos audiovisuales bajo demanda por streaming. La conocen todos, es líder en series y películas.

Ventas 20 203 M
EBIT 2 696 M
Ingresos netos 1 469 M
Deuda 10 136 M
PER 118,41
BPA 2,48
EV / Ventas 6,88
Dividendo

Después de los máximos de junio 2018 ha comenzado a formarse un triángulo que podría seguir su formación aún por mucho tiempo. A medio plazo parece que vaya formando una «taza». Está cerca de la base del triángulo y alrededor de los 275-280$ puede comenzar una tendencia alcista a medio plazo que podría romper la resistencia de 320-325$ y subir hasta los 360$.

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Espero que os haya gustado el artículo, por cualquier duda, opinión, consejo o sugerencia os invito a comentar el artículo.

Hasta mañana.

Por favor, si has encontrado el artículo interesante pon me gusta y compártelo, muchas gracias.
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